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March 09, 2008
You read it here first
Posted by: Chris
Taegan Goddard's respected Political Insider offers a Democratic primary end-game scenario that will sound familiar to those who read Andoni's post earlier this week:
It's clear that for either Sen. Barack Obama or Sen. Hillary Clinton to win the Democratic presidential nomination, they'll have to win the majority of superdelegates at the convention. But what if the superdelegates split right down the middle like Democrats across the nation? …
The answer might be for someone else entirely to step into the race at the convention. The most likely candidate would be Al Gore. Most Democrats think he was robbed of the presidency in 2000 by the Supreme Court and could be the only one to unite the party.
My own view is that Hillary's momentum from Ohio and Texas this week will be very short-lived, considering the final Texas numbers will soon show that Obama actually won more delegates in the state. Yesterday's decisive Wyoming result and Obama's expected lopsided victory in Mississippi on Tuesday should finish off the Clinton boomlet.
Following that, the mathematics will become even clearer, especially if Pennsylvania appears a toss-up, and more superdelegates will move to Obama's camp to put an end to things.
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Comments
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I've said it before and I'll say it again. I don't think Gore should run. Not because he wouldn't be a good president, but because I think he can do more good now than he would be allowed to do as president.
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The scenario you paint is beyond absurd. Gore is not a petty game-player and would NEVER suddenly step into the race at that late of a date. It would be a slap in the face to all the work done by Obama and Hillary. Gore is actually out there making a difference every day and is accomplishing more than were he to submit himself once again to the childish barrage of insults from media pundits.
I 100% guarantee John McCain will be the next President. Obama will win the Dem nomination but after his folks have burned every bridge with Hillary's supporters. They are already calling her "Billary", "Shillary", and reviving all the old GOP memes used against her (and her husband) in the 90's. Commenters on Americablog are literally claiming that "Slick Willie" was one of the worst, most corrupt Presidents in history.
Yes, I suspect some of this infighting is being instigated by GOP operatives. But they are tremendously cunning and skillful. Look at what an active and unrepentant homosexual, Matt Drudge, has achieved as their top propagandist. The bottom line is that the same folks who got Bush elected twice will get McCain elected by an even larger margin. No question about it. BTW, you haven't even gotten a hint of the quiet race-baiting they are going to use to demolish Obama. They have been holding all that back until Hillary drops out.
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The super delegate concept is as flawed as the electoral college. If you are ever going to re-engage the American voter, you have to give their votes the respect they are due. The fact that hundreds of party insiders choose the nominee instead of the voters will assure a poor turnout for Democrats in November.
As for Gore, I think he is too linked to the Clinton past to be seen by the Obama supporters as an agent of change. In a head to head contest with McCain, I think you have 2004 all over again and it goes back to the electoral college and/or the Supreme Court.
The comments to this entry are closed.
Tim C on Mar 9, 2008 12:01:47 PM:
One thing is missing in the scenario: I see no indicator that Al Gore wants to be President. I've always contended that is one of the principal reasons he lost in 2000: he really didn't want it. He was running because he was expected to run. His campaign never looked like the campaign of a man determined to be President.